Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...

Traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi now place the odds of a U.S. recession this year at 21%, up slightly from 19% earlier Tuesday. That figure is still near the lowest level of the year, ...

A GOP pollster shared an eye-popping chart about the state of President Donald Trump's economy on Tuesday. Trump campaigned ...

Most economists expect the U.S. economy to avoid a recession and grow moderately in 2026, though inflation could remain above ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Leadership professor, job market journalist-analyst, business advisor. Officially, an economic downturn is not a recession until ...

Even with inflation easing, the tariff war paused and the labor force at full employment, the U.S. gross domestic product is expected to grow by only 1.6% for 2025 – more than 1 percentage point below ...

Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

The economy contracted in the first quarter for the first time in three years, but it doesn't mean the economy is rushing toward a recession. At least not yet. Gross domestic product, the official ...