U.S. Treasury yield curve steepens as the 2s10s spread hits its widest since 2022—what it signals for Fed policy, inflation ...

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...

A portion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted on Tuesday, possibly signaling that the U.S. economy could fall ...

The Federal Fund futures are pricing an aggressive policy easing to 2.8%, which is consistent with a recession. The 10Y yields have been falling, driven primarily by the falling real yields, which ...

As concerns about a potential U.S. recession grow, Deutsche Bank says investors should look towards the behavior of the Treasury yield curve. Historically, an inversion of the 2s10s yield curve – ...

An economic indicator that has accurately predicted every recession for seven decades is flashing warning signs for 2026, ...

It’s hard not to constantly think about the economy these days, what with inflation and tariffs everywhere. Are we heading into a recession? We examined the insights of financial experts, who reveal ...

A short question: How do I ignore the noise in the markets? A recession has been predicted for the past several years, but the sky has not fallen (yet). Even with a slew of positive economic news, I ...

Analyzing critical junctures in the economy and markets to determine if a recession is imminent. Covers GDP, unemployment, yield curve, and more.

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Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide to plot your own financial data.