President Donald Trump says that tame inflation means the Federal Reserve should already be reducing its policy rate, but inside the U.S. central bank the idea has little traction, with only two Fed policymakers to date embracing the possibility of a rate cut at the central bank's next meeting in July.

The Fed has insisted all year that it’s not time to cut interest rates yet on account of tariff uncertainty. However, as Opening Bell Daily has maintained for several months, the labor market data justify lower rates, as do the five consecutive months of cooler-than-expected inflation reports.